The analysis of the vote by ethnicity in the 2012 presidential election, reveal that the Republican Party has very little chance of winning the 2016 presidential election given the ethnicity and percentage of who voted republican verses the ethnicity and percentages of the groups that voted democratic.
According to CNN exit polls, 93% of African-Americans, 71% of Hispanics and 73% of Asians supported Obama over Romney in 2012. These three groups voted 80% for President Obama.
The last president to get over 70% of the Hispanic/Latino vote was Bill Clinton with 72% the highest for any candidate; and just 1% higher than Obama—Hillary Rodham Clinton is married to Bill Clinton.
African-Americans voted at a higher percentage than whites in the 2012 election at 66%--and the Asian turnout was higher by 500,000--Hispanic/Latino voters also had a record voter turnout in 2012.
37% of the U.S. population is African-American, Hispanic/Latino and Asian--they accounted for 27 % see table 3: PDF--of the total votes cast in the 2012 presidential election--or 28% http://washington.cbslocal.com/...
This does not include the Jewish vote; that voted 70% for President Obama in 2012.http://www.al-monitor.com/...
The numbers above (with the exception of the Jewish percentage) are from November 8, 2012 two days after election day--and do not include 14, 15, 16, and 17 year old minorities from the before mentioned ethnic groups; who will be voting for the first time in the 2016 presidential election--and who will vote percentage wise, overwhelmingly democratic.
The above numbers also do not include a new demographic group that will be a major factor in the 2016 election, the now 28 million plus Americans (by election day of 2016 upwards of 35 to 40 million) who now have healthcare coverage through the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act Number with Healthcare either through the federal exchange, state exchanges, Medicaid expansion, or a young adult on his/her parents plan.
These recipients will be motivated to vote--and will be encouraged by the Democratic Party to vote. This group accounted for 18% of the electorate in 2012 and voted 75% for president Obama in 2012. Note: The healthcare percentages are at bottom of linked page. Healthcare%
This new healthcare demographic group consists of poor and working class Americans who have healthcare for the first time and will be voting to keep it--and percentage wise they will be voting overwhelmingly democrat.
The voting percentages of infuriated and motivated minorities coupled with voters safeguarding their healthcare will be higher--and the infusion of new minority voters, voting in their first presidential election will produce an even higher vote total for the Democratic Party.
The Republican nominees for president are not only racist, sexist, discriminatory and unqualified—they are culturally and socially heartless—and marked with the attributes and characteristics of a brainless half-wit. Being a half-wit is bad enough—but being a brainless half-wit is worse.
Republicans continue to want to take away women’s right to control their reproductive choices like abortion and contraceptives. There has been an onslaught of republican introduced legislation in states and the U.S. Congress to de-fund and shutdown Planned Parenthood--a healthcare provider that has been chosen by one in five women during their lifetimes—and a healthcare provider that serves men as well.
Planned Parenthood provides contraceptives opposed by brainless half-witted Republicans men--who only think contraceptives are used to prevent pregnancy; and are clueless to the other medical reasons women take contraceptives: Link1 Medication/Contraceptives: to prevent endometrial cancer, ovarian cancer, hormonal migraines, excessive menstrual bleeding, clear acne breakouts, PMS relief, fewer periods, and endometriosis. link 2 Medication Contraceptives
The Democratic Party will win the general election because the Republican Party candidates pandering to the extreme right wing of their party--have taken positions and made unprecedented, demeaning, and offensive comments about: women, African-Americans, the Hispanic/Latino community, the LGBTQ community--and millions of Americans now receiving healthcare because of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. This has galvanized what will be a seismic and transformational 2016 presidential election—the type of election that many have predicted would happen in twenty years.
Politics will change on election night 2016--the demographics have changed enough and the Republican Party with it's infestation of racists, bigots, sexists, anti-LGBTQ maniacs, and family values hypocrites'--have accelerated the American transformation and evolution in American politics we will witness on election night 2016.
So let's look at some numbers from: http://www.fec.gov/...
In the 2016 presidential election President Obama got 65,915,795 votes--Mitt Romney got 60,933,504 votes. There were twenty-eight other smaller political parties that ran for president in 2012 (a fact I was surprised to find out)--including their smaller votes received--the total votes cast in the 2012 presidential election was 129,085,410.
It is not out of sorts to believe that the democratic candidate for the presidency will get between 30 and 35 percent of the white vote in 2016. Especially since about 53% of the electorate that votes are women--and many of those white women are as outraged as minority women with the Republican Party and its Neanderthal "War on Women."
The vote potential for democrats from: white women (and men), minority voters--including new minority voters who were teens in 2012, Jewish voters and recipients of healthcare for the first time--mean that this election has the real potential to turn into a landslide in the popular vote and electoral college in favor of the democratic candidate for the presidency.
Whomever the Republican nominee is will be no challenge to the democratic nomine--because all of the Republican presidential candidates combined add up to the worst group of politicians to ever seek the Presidency of the United States. This potential massive vote count will be hard to imagine not impacting practically every state.
Let's see why Republican's are engaging in voter suppression and repression--and don't want immigrants, especially from south of the border--or children born in America legally (U.S citizens) to stay in America. Birth-right citizenship is guaranteed by the 14th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution.
Excerpts from news article earlier in diary: http://washington.cbslocal.com/...
Second source: Minority Vote Growing
"By 2050, the Hispanic share of the U.S. population could be as high as 29 percent, up from 17 percent now. The black proportion of the population is projected to rise slightly to 13 percent, while the Asian population is projected to increase to 9 percent from its current 5 percent." Non-Hispanic whites, 63 percent of the current population, will decrease to half or slightly less than half of the population by 2050. A lot of the growth is due to higher birth rates, as opposed to immigration itself."
"Today’s immigrants, like those from previous centuries, tend to have higher shares of women of childbearing age and higher birth rates than the U.S.-born population. Most of the growth in the Latino population and much of the growth in the Asian population will be driven by births rather than immigration. At the same time, the native-born white population is aging, and births to white mothers have been declining."
The 2016 election is going to be decided in the democratic primary race between Hillary Rodham Clinton and Bernie Sanders. If Vice-President Biden decides to enter the race it may change the dynamic in favor of Bernie Sanders—because Vice-President Biden will likely split votes with Hillary Clinton.
The Democratic presidential candidates will have a spirited and hard fought primary battle; many of their supporters have already chosen sides—but the one left standing will be the 45th President of the United States.
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